Voici une analyse du site Realtor.com sur leurs prévisions de croissance de l’immobilier résidentiels en 2021 aux USA.
Realtor.com explique bien des choses pour arriver à faire une prédiction 2021 : Ce sera un marché de vendeur (c’est à dire plus d’acheteurs que de maisons disponibles).
« Les vendeurs seront en bonne position en 2021. Les prix des maisons atteindront de nouveaux sommets, même si le rythme de la croissance ralentit. Les acheteurs resteront nombreux et les taux hypothécaires bas maintiendront un pouvoir d’achat sain, mais les coûts mensuels des prêts hypothécaires augmenteront à mesure que les taux hypothécaires se stabilisent et que les prix des maisons continuent d’augmenter. Les vendeurs qui espèrent voir de nouveaux gains de prix à deux chiffres seront probablement déçus, mais ceux qui établissent des attentes raisonnables peuvent s’attendre à voir une vente opportune et voudront se concentrer sur leur prochain mouvement. »
Et Realtor.com présente un tableau sur la progression de chaque Région métropolitaine aux USA. J’ai classé leur pronostique par pourcentage d’augmentation du prix de vente et inséré un ordre pour identifier chaque position sur les 100.
| Ordre | Région Métropolitaine | 2021 croissance du nombre de ventes | 2021 croissance du prix de ventes |
| 1 | San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif. | 10.80% | 10.80% |
| 2 | Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash. | 8.90% | 9.70% |
| 3 | Boise City, Idaho | 9.80% | 9.10% |
| 4 | Fresno, Calif. | 8.90% | 8.50% |
| 5 | San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif. | 1.30% | 8.40% |
| 6 | Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, Conn. | 9.70% | 7.80% |
| 7 | Columbus, Ohio | 10.30% | 7.60% |
| 8 | Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla. | 8.70% | 7.50% |
| 9 | Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade, Calif. | 17.20% | 7.40% |
| 10 | Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif. | 10.00% | 7.30% |
| 11 | Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, Fla. | 3.70% | 7.10% |
| 12 | Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz. | 11.40% | 7.00% |
| 13 | Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-Va.-Md.-W. Va. | 5.20% | 6.70% |
| 14 | North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla. | 10.30% | 6.60% |
| 15 | El Paso, Texas | 10.60% | 6.40% |
| 16 | Portland-South Portland, Maine | 2.00% | 6.40% |
| 17 | Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, Fla. | 5.40% | 6.30% |
| 18 | Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, Ga. | 3.60% | 6.20% |
| 19 | Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, Md. | 4.80% | 6.20% |
| 20 | Colorado Springs, Colo. | 5.40% | 6.20% |
| 21 | Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash. | 8.10% | 6.20% |
| 22 | Stockton-Lodi, Calif. | 8.20% | 6.10% |
| 23 | Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis. | 6.30% | 6.00% |
| 24 | Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla. | 10.10% | 5.80% |
| 25 | Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.-N.H. | 5.40% | 5.70% |
| 26 | Knoxville, Tenn. | 7.90% | 5.70% |
| 27 | Salt Lake City, Utah | 7.50% | 5.70% |
| 28 | Spokane-Spokane Valley, Wash. | 3.80% | 5.60% |
| 29 | Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, Calif. | 12.50% | 5.50% |
| 30 | Providence-Warwick, R.I.-Mass. | 4.50% | 5.50% |
| 31 | Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif. | 12.40% | 5.50% |
| 32 | San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif. | 11.30% | 5.50% |
| 33 | Columbia, S.C. | 8.10% | 5.40% |
| 34 | Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo. | 12.50% | 5.40% |
| 35 | Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, N.C.-S.C. | 13.80% | 5.20% |
| 36 | Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev. | 12.00% | 5.20% |
| 37 | Rochester, N.Y. | 8.40% | 5.10% |
| 38 | Jacksonville, Fla. | 9.40% | 5.00% |
| 39 | Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, Pa.-N.J. | 0.30% | 4.90% |
| 40 | Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, Mich | -2.80% | 4.90% |
| 41 | Lakeland-Winter Haven, Fla. | 5.10% | 4.90% |
| 42 | Omaha-Council Bluffs, Neb.-Iowa | 1.40% | 4.90% |
| 43 | Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark. | 9.10% | 4.80% |
| 44 | Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, Minn.-Wis. | 0.50% | 4.80% |
| 45 | Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin, Tenn. | 3.10% | 4.80% |
| 46 | Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, Fla. | 11.60% | 4.70% |
| 47 | Austin-Round Rock, Texas | 8.40% | 4.60% |
| 48 | Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas | 5.30% | 4.60% |
| 49 | Syracuse, N.Y. | 4.20% | 4.60% |
| 50 | Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, Pa.-N.J.-Del.-Md. | 7.00% | 4.50% |
| 51 | Richmond, Va. | 6.20% | 4.50% |
| 52 | Tucson, Ariz. | 3.40% | 4.50% |
| 53 | Worcester, Mass.-Conn. | 3.50% | 4.50% |
| 54 | Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, Ohio-Pa. | 6.10% | 4.50% |
| 55 | Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas | 11.30% | 4.40% |
| 56 | Winston-Salem, N.C. | 2.60% | 4.40% |
| 57 | Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla. | 1.50% | 4.30% |
| 58 | Charleston-North Charleston, S.C. | 9.50% | 4.30% |
| 59 | Durham-Chapel Hill, N.C. | 4.80% | 4.30% |
| 60 | San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas | 7.20% | 4.30% |
| 61 | Akron, Ohio | 5.30% | 4.20% |
| 62 | Louisville/Jefferson County, Ky.-Ind. | 7.00% | 4.20% |
| 63 | New Orleans-Metairie, La. | 5.30% | 4.20% |
| 64 | Springfield, Mass. | 8.10% | 4.20% |
| 65 | Greensboro-High Point, N.C. | 6.80% | 4.10% |
| 66 | Pittsburgh, Pa. | 9.20% | 4.10% |
| 67 | Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, N.Y. | 6.30% | 4.00% |
| 68 | Raleigh, N.C. | 6.00% | 3.90% |
| 69 | Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind. | 4.90% | 3.80% |
| 70 | Harrisburg-Carlisle, Pa. | 14.40% | 3.80% |
| 71 | St. Louis, Mo.-Ill. | 3.40% | 3.80% |
| 72 | Albany-Schenectady-Troy, N.Y. | 7.10% | 3.70% |
| 73 | Bakersfield, Calif. | 10.50% | 3.70% |
| 74 | Grand Rapids-Wyoming, Mich | 9.10% | 3.60% |
| 75 | McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas | 10.00% | 3.60% |
| 76 | Chattanooga, Tenn.-Ga. | 4.90% | 3.50% |
| 77 | Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, Ill.-Ind.-Wis. | 8.30% | 3.50% |
| 78 | Kansas City, Mo.-Kan. | 12.10% | 3.50% |
| 79 | Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, Conn. | 12.10% | 3.40% |
| 80 | Wichita, Kan. | 2.40% | 3.40% |
| 81 | Toledo, Ohio | 3.90% | 3.30% |
| 82 | Albuquerque, N.M. | 4.50% | 3.20% |
| 83 | Augusta-Richmond County, Ga.-S.C. | 5.10% | 3.20% |
| 84 | Birmingham-Hoover, Ala. | 3.70% | 3.20% |
| 85 | New Haven-Milford, Conn. | 8.60% | 3.10% |
| 86 | Oklahoma City, Okla. | 5.80% | 3.00% |
| 87 | Des Moines-West Des Moines, Iowa | 6.90% | 2.80% |
| 88 | Cleveland-Elyria, Ohio | 6.70% | 2.70% |
| 89 | Baton Rouge, La. | 6.50% | 2.60% |
| 90 | Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind. | 4.10% | 2.30% |
| 91 | Madison, Wis. | 5.10% | 2.10% |
| 92 | Tulsa, Okla. | 2.70% | 2.00% |
| 93 | Jackson, Miss. | 5.30% | 1.90% |
| 94 | Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C. | 8.10% | 1.80% |
| 95 | Dayton, Ohio | 0.70% | 1.70% |
| 96 | Urban Honolulu, Hawaii | 5.20% | 1.60% |
| 97 | Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, Ark. | 1.90% | 1.50% |
| 98 | Greenville-Anderson-Mauldin, S.C. | 4.30% | 1.30% |
| 99 | Scranton–Wilkes-Barre–Hazleton, Pa. | 6.70% | 1.10% |
| 100 | New York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa. | -3.80% | 0.50% |
Je ne suis pas aligné à leurs conclusions de façon globale mais je rejoins une idée déjà mentionnée : n’achetez pas New-York !
Source : Realtor.com
PS : Il existe exatement 392 régions métropolitaines aux USA.
